According to multiple Israeli security sources, Israel launched its attack on Iran without a viable plan for regime change, with hopes for a popular uprising being driven by “wishful thinking” rather than concrete intelligence This assessment comes nearly two weeks into a bombing campaign which has included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei As the war proves increasingly costly, US President Trump is now publicly contemplating its conclusion
Despite the military pressure, Iran’s new leadership appears to be consolidating power, shifting the strategic focus of the conflict According to former and serving Israeli defence and intelligence officials, the ultimate measure of success now hinges on the fate of 440kg of enriched uranium that remains in Iran’s possession This material, enough for more than ten nuclear warheads, represents the core unresolved threat. The sources express concern that a surviving Iranian regime, even if weakened, would possess both the means and a heightened motivation to pursue a nuclear weapon following the conflict, potentially leaving Israel in a more precarious strategic position than before the war began
Mohsin Rana
